Archive for April, 2008

The Importance of Stories

Saturday, April 12th, 2008

The BTO team was in town on Wednesday, and I got treated to a nice dinner along with the other acceptees. Of the many interesting topics covered during dinner, a former Goldman analyst made the comment that while he was at Goldman, investors did not want stock recommendations from him – what they wanted was an “understanding” of the industry.

This observation led me to think about the web2.0 world as it is today – I think one of the missing features is that people do not feel like they control the aggregation process. When you are talking about large impersonal sites like digg and reddit, the quality of your experience is largely dependent on your ability to conform to the tastes of the community. On sites like netflix, on the other hand, your experience depends on the expertise of some unnamed team of programmers. What is missing in both is the feeling that you are consciously controlling and refining the aggregation process yourself.

I think the development of taste is a very personal experience, and there exists real demand for the feeling that one’s taste is not an objective unchanging thing waiting to be discovered, but rather something that is actively and consciously being developed and improved.

Singaporean SWFs – Biggest in the World

Friday, April 11th, 2008

After seeing
NYT: The New Global Wealth Machine and
WSJ: SWFs May Not Be as Rich as They Look

I am now convinced that Singapore has the biggest Sovereign Wealth Funds in the world.

Agnosticism and Epistemological Zombiehood

Friday, April 11th, 2008

In an email to a friend:

Overcoming Bias: article

I just came across this. By golly it brings me relief. I’ve recently been becoming more agnostic and yet maintaining the same level of opinionation, and I was afraid of an impending conflict between the two. The ideas in this blog entry relieve that conflict.

The Lucas Critique and Modern Portfolio Theory

Friday, April 11th, 2008

Modern Portfolio Theory is parametrized by cross-correlations between asset classes. Is there any reason to believe that those cross-correlations are structural and policy independent? What is the simplest model one can use for portfolio diversification that addresses the Lucas Critique?